Posted by
Logical Party on Monday, June 09, 2008 12:00:00 AM
One would think by listening to alleged pundits, Barack Obama just won nomination in a 60-40 cakewalk, not the nail biting three tenths of one percent in the popular vote, also in dispute. While Obama ran a well organized campaign consistent on message, given in homily format light on substance and questionable in practice, it is Clinton’s underestimating her opponent and clinging to coronation status that contributed to her demise.
This was a split decision, and we have a nominee going into the general election where half his party voted against him. Unlike other years where supporters of a losing candidate easily switched since their candidate didn’t fare as well, we now have a group of people who are politically centrist and upset over the mistreatment of their candidate by the media, and their own party politicians, and had to listen to a litany of “withdraw” since February. This consists of 18 million who bothered to vote, and an additional amount in states where the outcome was a foregone conclusion and stayed home to pick up their children from school.
They are conservative blue dog democrats and working class blue collars who supported Clinton, and reasonable Iraqi withdrawal plans, and are more aligned to McCain than Obama. Emotions are hot and wounds still open, but if the hemorrhage of Clinton support is diminished to 10%, that’s 2 million turnaround votes for McCain – enough to throw the election to him.
If wisdom prevails, Obama will shelf the ego and dislikes and come to a practical conclusion that he will not win the Presidency without Hillary by his side. There is no other VP choice that can stop the bleeding to McCain, and to think otherwise is delusional. The only possibility Obama can hope for to proceed without Hillary is for unemployment to eclipse 6.5%, the market to fall another 10%, or something really bad happening in Iraq, reminding people we shouldn’t be there.
The likely scenario, and one that will provide the drama necessary to motivate the electorate, is for Obama to stand before the convention after months of secrecy, and say he has selected the person with the experience and knowledge to help get his goals achieved, and …before completing a woman walks up the runway and slowly emerges as Barack completes…she is the best person for that job; Hillary Clinton.
The hysteria will be insurmountable. The bad blood, Clinton fatigue, baggage and kitschy catch phrases of change won’t be as important as the novelty and strength of these two together at last, a forced coupling that will pay dividends come fall.
One would hope that Thursday’s clandestine meeting was a sign of the beginning of the process. Otherwise, why would Hillary do an about face and come away with nothing? That makes no sense, especially in light of her personal beliefs and those of her supporters, and when she has come this far having spent so much money and having a debt to extinguish. It is safe to say something happened Thursday and Hillary will be around, otherwise why not let the process play out to the convention?
If Hillary is not selected VP, many will bolt, hedged by a Democrat majority that will become a plurality, stymieing McCain to puppet status. It is also hoped that McCain, who sold his soul to obtain conservative votes, will revert back to the Senator who thought the tax cut plan favored the wealthy, and who avoided misstatements of a 100 year war.
So be forewarned Mr. Obama. It is best to take the other half of your vote along for the ride on the completion of your fantastic voyage.
David DiBello